Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 89.0% | 11.0% | -11.5 | ✗ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +3 (141-138). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 11-24 | 2-3 | 9-11 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 34 | 9-12 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 29 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 24 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 22 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 21 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 20 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 19 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 17 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 35 | 8-18 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 35 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 33 | 6-13 | 2-9 | 10-11 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson * | 28 | 11-18 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 27 | 7-16 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Trent Forrest | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter