Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | +1.6 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +12 (142-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 36 | 6-18 | 2-8 | 9-10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 35 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 9-13 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 32 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 28 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 22 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 20 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 20 | 6-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 13 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Livingston | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 33 | 10-20 | 5-11 | 6-6 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 31 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 30 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 28 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 21 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith * | 19 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 26 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 25 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 13 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter