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2024-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 13.4% 86.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 10.6% 89.4% - ✓
Margin 3.0% 97.0% +19.2 ✓ (19.8 off)
Pythagorean 32.2% 67.8% - ✓
Efficiency 14.8% 85.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 17.3% 82.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 17.3% 82.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 22.2% 77.8% - ✓

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +39 (140-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 22 7-12 2-6 0-0 2 3 1 0 16 - -
Jordan Poole * 22 3-11 2-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 8 - -
Deni Avdija * 21 3-11 1-3 0-0 6 4 1 0 7 - -
Daniel Gafford * 20 6-8 0-0 0-1 5 1 0 1 12 - -
Tyus Jones * 20 4-11 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 1 9 - -
Bilal Coulibaly 32 2-12 1-4 0-2 5 1 3 2 5 - -
Mike Muscala 20 5-9 2-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 12 - -
Corey Kispert 19 4-9 0-5 4-6 1 0 0 0 12 - -
Delon Wright 18 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 4 1 1 0 - -
Landry Shamet 15 3-6 2-3 1-2 3 2 1 0 9 - -
Jared Butler 8 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Eugene Omoruyi 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Johnny Davis 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Anthony Gill 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarrett Allen * 29 7-10 0-0 3-4 19 7 0 2 17 - -
Max Strus * 28 9-13 6-8 0-0 4 3 1 1 24 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 24 6-16 4-9 6-6 3 4 2 2 22 - -
Dean Wade * 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Isaac Okoro * 19 4-4 1-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 9 - -
Sam Merrill 28 4-11 3-9 0-0 5 6 0 0 11 - -
Georges Niang 27 5-11 3-7 2-2 8 1 0 0 15 - -
Caris LeVert 22 9-18 3-6 0-0 5 5 1 1 21 - -
Tristan Thompson 18 3-7 0-0 1-3 9 4 0 1 7 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 14 4-5 0-0 0-1 3 3 0 0 8 - -
Damian Jones 6 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 4 - -

* = starter