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2024-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 40.8% 59.2% -
Bradley-Terry 27.7% 72.3% -
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 28.7% 71.3% -
Efficiency 10.2% 89.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.6% 87.4% -
Log Adjusted 12.5% 87.5% -
Points Off/Def 19.6% 80.4% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -7 (104-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 40 9-18 3-6 6-6 5 3 1 2 27 20 -
Terry Rozier * 36 13-24 3-11 5-6 3 6 1 2 34 22 -
Cody Martin * 32 4-10 1-5 1-2 2 2 1 0 10 5 -
Nick Richards * 26 3-4 0-0 1-2 10 1 1 2 7 17 -
Bryce McGowens * 21 1-3 0-2 2-3 2 2 0 0 4 5 -
P.J. Washington 29 7-13 3-6 0-0 4 4 1 0 17 13 -
Ish Smith 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 4 1 0 4 11 -
Nathan Mensah 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 2 0 4 -
Nick Smith Jr. 14 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 2 6 6 -
JT Thor 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 37 11-25 3-10 5-8 5 6 1 1 30 18 -
Keegan Murray * 37 4-12 1-6 1-2 3 2 3 0 10 6 -
Domantas Sabonis * 34 11-21 1-1 0-1 19 4 1 0 23 26 -
Chris Duarte * 29 5-11 2-4 0-0 7 4 1 0 12 13 -
Harrison Barnes * 23 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 3 5 -
Malik Monk 19 2-7 2-5 0-0 3 2 0 1 6 5 -
Trey Lyles 16 3-6 3-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 9 7 -
Davion Mitchell 14 1-3 1-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
Alex Len 12 1-1 0-0 1-2 4 3 0 0 3 9 -
Kevin Huerter 12 1-4 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 4 2 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter