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2024-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 32.4% 67.6% -
Bradley-Terry 36.8% 63.2% -
Margin 29.3% 70.7% +4.8 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% -
Efficiency 48.7% 51.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.3% 53.7% -
Log Adjusted 46.3% 53.7% -
Points Off/Def 42.5% 57.5% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +6 (121-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 36 10-19 1-5 4-4 6 3 2 0 25 - -
Paolo Banchero * 34 8-20 3-8 8-11 12 6 2 1 27 - -
Jalen Suggs * 31 3-14 3-7 1-2 2 3 0 0 10 - -
Goga Bitadze * 26 6-6 1-1 0-0 7 1 1 1 13 - -
Anthony Black * 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Gary Harris 28 3-7 2-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 8 - -
Cole Anthony 25 3-8 1-2 1-1 4 2 0 1 8 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. 19 1-5 0-1 4-4 2 1 1 1 6 - -
Moritz Wagner 15 5-8 1-2 1-1 5 1 1 0 12 - -
Caleb Houstan 8 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 35 12-20 4-9 8-11 2 6 4 1 36 - -
Jonathan Kuminga * 34 7-14 1-5 4-5 6 4 0 2 19 - -
Chris Paul * 29 3-5 3-3 3-4 2 4 0 0 12 - -
Klay Thompson * 25 6-11 3-8 0-0 3 2 0 1 15 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis * 23 3-4 0-0 4-6 4 2 1 2 10 - -
Brandin Podziemski 28 4-7 1-3 1-4 4 2 2 0 10 - -
Andrew Wiggins 21 4-7 1-3 1-3 3 0 2 0 10 - -
Kevon Looney 17 1-2 0-0 3-4 5 2 0 0 5 - -
Dario Saric 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Gary Payton II 10 1-5 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter