Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.6% | 73.4% | +5.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +4 (127-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 37 | 4-18 | 0-8 | 7-8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 37 | 10-21 | 2-5 | 8-10 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 34 | 12-18 | 2-3 | 8-9 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 34 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 30 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 28 | 7-12 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 25 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Al Horford | 19 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luguentz Dort * | 37 | 4-14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 14-22 | 3-5 | 5-8 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 32 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 31 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 26 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 12 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Vasilije Micic | 10 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 8 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter