Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.0% | 65.0% | +3.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +8 (106-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 34 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 27 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 26 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 22 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 31 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 25 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 21 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 35 | 7-15 | 3-9 | 9-12 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 34 | 11-17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 32 | 3-14 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 29 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 28 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Vince Williams Jr. | 21 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 20 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Derrick Rose | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter