Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.7% | 68.3% | +4.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LA Clippers +17 (121-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. * | 38 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 6-17 | 0-2 | 9-13 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jamal Cain * | 34 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 34 | 4-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 26 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 22 | 7-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jovic | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Cole Swider | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawhi Leonard * | 33 | 10-19 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Paul George * | 33 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| James Harden * | 31 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Ivica Zubac * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Terance Mann * | 17 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell | 33 | 9-11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Amir Coffey | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 17 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Brandon Boston Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kobe Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Moussa Diabate | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter