Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.2% | 27.8% | -5.2 | ✗ (42.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +37 (127-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 33 | 6-20 | 3-13 | 4-6 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 32 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 24 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 22 | 3-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 21 | 6-15 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 18 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simone Fontecchio * | 29 | 10-16 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Lauri Markkanen * | 24 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kris Dunn * | 20 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Collin Sexton * | 18 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 17 | 7-13 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Keyonte George | 28 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 27 | 8-16 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Walker Kessler | 26 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji | 19 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 19 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Luka Samanic | 3 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter