Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.0% | 88.0% | +11.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +18 (111-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 36 | 10-14 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Brandon Miller * | 31 | 5-17 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards * | 29 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith * | 29 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bryce McGowens * | 23 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cody Martin | 24 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 18 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nathan Mensah | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| James Bouknight | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| JT Thor | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 30 | 8-17 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 26 | 7-16 | 5-9 | 6-7 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 24 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 23 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 19 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 17 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Braxton Key | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter