Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.0% | 59.0% | +2.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -9 (113-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 36 | 11-22 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 27 | 1-10 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith * | 11 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 36 | 9-15 | 1-5 | 6-9 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 29 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 21 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 20 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 20 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 38 | 3-16 | 1-9 | 6-6 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 38 | 8-17 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 36 | 11-20 | 0-3 | 8-11 | 18 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 30 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 36 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 31 | 9-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 17 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter