Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.3% | 65.7% | +3.6 | ✓ (19.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +23 (136-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 30 | 3-16 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 26 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 25 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II * | 23 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 22 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes | 18 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Livers | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperen Sengun * | 27 | 9-13 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 27 | 6-12 | 5-9 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 26 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 26 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 25 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 28 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 23 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 7 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter