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2024-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 48.9% 51.1% -
Bradley-Terry 65.2% 34.8% -
Margin 77.1% 22.9% -6.7 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 57.0% 43.0% -
Efficiency 71.6% 28.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.5% 29.5% -
Log Adjusted 70.5% 29.5% -
Points Off/Def 60.6% 39.4% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +3 (124-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Max Strus * 37 2-7 2-5 0-0 6 3 1 1 6 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 37 8-21 4-9 6-6 7 7 4 0 26 - -
Jarrett Allen * 33 5-11 0-0 6-8 11 4 1 0 16 - -
Isaac Okoro * 27 5-10 0-4 6-7 1 3 2 1 16 - -
Dean Wade * 20 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 - -
Caris LeVert 29 12-20 2-7 5-5 4 4 0 0 31 - -
Sam Merrill 16 6-11 4-8 0-0 3 1 0 0 16 - -
Georges Niang 16 4-5 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 8 - -
Tristan Thompson 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 40 13-20 5-8 5-6 5 2 1 0 36 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 37 5-8 0-0 4-7 11 4 0 3 14 - -
Scottie Barnes * 35 7-17 1-5 5-7 6 5 1 1 20 - -
RJ Barrett * 29 6-12 1-2 6-8 9 1 0 0 19 - -
Immanuel Quickley * 28 5-13 2-5 2-3 6 3 2 0 14 - -
Dennis Schroder 29 3-7 1-5 5-7 3 8 0 0 12 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 26 3-10 1-5 2-2 6 2 1 0 9 - -
Chris Boucher 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Thaddeus Young 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter