Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +5 (112-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner * | 38 | 11-25 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Paolo Banchero * | 37 | 12-23 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs * | 28 | 1-10 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Anthony Black * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris | 32 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | 23 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 18 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Caleb Houstan | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chuma Okeke | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 38 | 12-21 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 36 | 7-17 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 35 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 34 | 10-13 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 33 | 8-17 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 29 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 16 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Udoka Azubuike | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter