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2024-01-01

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 44.0% 56.0% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 34.4% 65.6% - ✗
Margin 22.7% 77.3% +6.7 ✗ (37.7 off)
Pythagorean 59.8% 40.2% - ✓
Efficiency 76.1% 23.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 73.9% 26.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 74.0% 26.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 63.0% 37.0% - ✓

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -31 (92-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 34 9-23 3-8 3-5 4 4 0 1 24 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 31 5-11 0-1 3-5 21 12 1 0 13 - -
Keegan Murray * 26 4-9 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 10 - -
Chris Duarte * 26 2-6 1-2 2-2 6 0 0 0 7 - -
Harrison Barnes * 19 4-8 2-5 1-1 2 0 0 1 11 - -
Malik Monk 21 10-13 4-5 3-3 4 5 0 0 27 - -
Trey Lyles 18 4-4 3-3 1-1 3 0 1 0 12 - -
Kevin Huerter 16 4-9 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 9 - -
Davion Mitchell 14 4-4 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 8 - -
Alex Len 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 1 0 - -
JaVale McGee 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Kessler Edwards 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Keon Ellis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Sasha Vezenkov 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 35 6-14 3-7 2-3 7 6 0 0 17 - -
Marcus Smart * 30 4-11 0-4 4-7 1 2 3 0 12 - -
Ja Morant * 30 4-12 2-4 7-8 3 3 0 0 17 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 28 6-14 1-4 5-6 3 1 1 0 18 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 - -
Luke Kennard 19 6-9 5-8 0-0 3 2 0 0 17 - -
Vince Williams Jr. 17 0-4 0-4 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 - -
Santi Aldama 14 2-6 1-5 0-2 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Derrick Rose 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 - -
David Roddy 10 0-3 0-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Xavier Tillman 8 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Ziaire Williams 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
John Konchar 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter