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2024-01-01

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 40.8% 59.2% -
Bradley-Terry 60.4% 39.6% -
Margin 73.7% 26.3% -5.7 (27.3 off)
Pythagorean 65.1% 34.9% -
Efficiency 89.8% 10.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.1% 13.9% -
Log Adjusted 86.1% 13.9% -
Points Off/Def 76.4% 23.6% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -33 (101-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 30 10-17 5-10 0-0 6 2 0 2 25 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 29 4-14 0-7 6-6 9 2 1 2 14 - -
Jaylen Brown * 26 9-13 2-2 4-6 6 3 2 0 24 - -
Derrick White * 25 7-11 3-6 0-0 3 5 0 0 17 - -
Al Horford * 19 3-5 1-3 0-0 7 4 0 0 7 - -
Oshae Brissett 21 2-5 0-0 0-1 6 0 2 0 4 - -
Sam Hauser 20 4-6 3-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 11 - -
Payton Pritchard 18 4-8 1-5 0-2 3 7 0 0 9 - -
Luke Kornet 16 5-7 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 2 12 - -
Dalano Banton 10 0-2 0-0 4-4 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 8 0-4 0-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Lamar Stevens 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Neemias Queta 5 2-2 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 1 5 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Vassell * 31 9-15 2-4 2-2 4 1 2 0 22 - -
Jeremy Sochan * 24 4-11 1-4 0-0 3 5 0 0 9 - -
Victor Wembanyama * 23 8-16 3-8 2-2 7 3 0 1 21 - -
Malaki Branham * 22 4-9 1-5 2-3 1 0 0 0 11 - -
Julian Champagnie * 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Tre Jones 22 4-10 0-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 8 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 19 3-9 1-5 0-0 7 4 0 0 7 - -
Cedi Osman 16 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 5 - -
Blake Wesley 16 0-3 0-2 1-2 2 6 0 0 1 - -
Doug McDermott 15 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Dominick Barlow 12 3-6 1-1 1-2 5 1 2 0 8 - -
Sidy Cissoko 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Devonte' Graham 8 3-4 2-2 1-1 2 1 0 0 9 - -

* = starter