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2024-01-01

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 52.7% 47.3% -
Bradley-Terry 72.7% 27.3% -
Margin 73.8% 26.2% -5.7 (25.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% -
Efficiency 35.5% 64.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.4% 61.6% -
Log Adjusted 38.4% 61.6% -
Points Off/Def 37.2% 62.8% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +20 (129-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 36 12-24 3-7 7-8 5 8 0 1 34 - -
Anthony Davis * 35 7-15 0-2 6-8 10 3 0 5 20 - -
Taurean Prince * 34 5-9 4-7 1-1 1 4 2 2 15 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 20 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 - -
Rui Hachimura * 7 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 4 - -
Austin Reaves 36 7-12 1-5 5-6 2 9 1 1 20 - -
Max Christie 29 3-11 1-6 0-0 7 0 2 0 7 - -
Christian Wood 25 1-4 1-4 0-0 5 1 0 1 3 - -
Jaxson Hayes 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Jalen Hood-Schifino 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 37 10-18 4-7 2-5 5 8 3 2 26 - -
CJ McCollum * 35 8-19 6-11 0-0 5 9 1 1 22 - -
Zion Williamson * 31 8-12 0-0 10-12 4 6 0 0 26 - -
Herbert Jones * 29 5-9 3-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 13 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 24 4-7 0-0 5-5 8 1 1 1 13 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 23 3-4 1-1 4-4 10 3 0 0 11 - -
Naji Marshall 21 3-8 0-3 0-0 5 3 0 0 6 - -
Jose Alvarado 20 3-8 2-5 0-0 3 1 4 2 8 - -
Dyson Daniels 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Jordan Hawkins 7 0-1 0-1 1-1 2 1 0 0 1 - -

* = starter