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2023-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 67.5% 32.5% -
Bradley-Terry 67.1% 32.9% -
Margin 80.2% 19.8% -7.7 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 57.3% 42.7% -
Efficiency 69.5% 30.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.7% 33.3% -
Log Adjusted 66.7% 33.3% -
Points Off/Def 57.9% 42.1% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -4 (126-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 39 11-19 4-8 14-19 3 13 3 0 40 40 -
Jalen Johnson * 36 9-12 2-4 4-5 13 4 0 0 24 29 -
Dejounte Murray * 34 13-21 3-6 3-5 6 3 0 0 32 20 -
Saddiq Bey * 32 4-10 2-5 1-3 11 0 0 1 11 13 -
Clint Capela * 32 5-11 0-0 1-4 17 3 1 1 11 22 -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 27 5-19 1-8 1-1 1 1 0 0 12 -5 -
Bruno Fernando 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 4 -
Garrison Mathews 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 4 -
Patty Mills 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 33 15-31 7-18 1-1 8 5 0 0 38 20 -
Deni Avdija * 31 5-9 2-6 5-8 12 2 1 1 17 24 -
Daniel Gafford * 28 3-4 0-0 4-4 9 0 2 4 10 21 -
Jordan Poole * 28 6-14 1-7 0-0 3 6 0 1 13 9 -
Tyus Jones * 27 5-11 3-7 1-1 0 8 1 1 14 13 -
Mike Muscala 19 4-8 2-5 0-0 4 3 0 0 10 9 -
Landry Shamet 18 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 2 4 5 -
Delon Wright 17 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 3 -
Corey Kispert 17 5-10 1-5 4-5 0 4 0 0 15 9 -
Bilal Coulibaly 17 0-3 0-1 2-2 4 3 0 0 2 6 -

* = starter