Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.6% | 75.4% | +6.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -10 (122-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 14-29 | 5-13 | 6-7 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 39 | 30 | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 34 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - | |
| Dante Exum * | 33 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - | |
| Jaden Hardy * | 23 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 29 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - | |
| Josh Green | 24 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - | |
| Grant Williams | 18 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 34 | 9-25 | 6-15 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 10 | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 32 | 9-14 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis * | 28 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 26 | 1-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 25 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski | 28 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins | 27 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - | |
| Dario Saric | 15 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter