Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.0% | 80.0% | +7.6 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +2 (129-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 39 | 8-16 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 39 | 14-24 | 2-2 | 5-8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 36 | 8-20 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder * | 36 | 11-18 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 34 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Otto Porter Jr. | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 37 | 9-20 | 2-4 | 10-10 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 36 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II * | 30 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 29 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 9-12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 18 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Livers | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman | 13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson | 12 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter