Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.1% | 23.9% | -6.4 | ✗ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +8 (117-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 38 | 9-22 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 36 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 14-20 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jovic * | 9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 35 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 32 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 26 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 19 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jamal Cain | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simone Fontecchio * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Lauri Markkanen * | 26 | 4-13 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Collin Sexton * | 25 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 20 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kris Dunn * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 27 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Keyonte George | 27 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 25 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Walker Kessler | 23 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter