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2023-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 14.4% 85.6% -
Bradley-Terry 37.3% 62.7% -
Margin 39.2% 60.8% +2.4 (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 33.6% 66.4% -
Efficiency 16.5% 83.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.5% 80.5% -
Log Adjusted 19.5% 80.5% -
Points Off/Def 24.7% 75.3% -

Actual: LA Clippers +11 (117-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 37 7-19 0-7 5-6 6 10 0 0 19 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 36 8-17 4-6 2-2 2 4 2 2 22 - -
Desmond Bane * 36 7-11 2-5 2-2 7 5 2 0 18 - -
Marcus Smart * 31 7-14 4-11 4-4 2 2 3 0 22 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -
Vince Williams Jr. 22 1-6 1-4 2-3 1 5 0 1 5 - -
Santi Aldama 22 5-7 2-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 12 - -
David Roddy 22 1-3 0-1 2-3 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Xavier Tillman 16 1-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 1 2 - -
Ziaire Williams 5 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 43 4-13 2-9 6-8 4 13 0 3 16 - -
Paul George * 35 8-21 2-8 5-6 7 3 1 0 23 - -
Ivica Zubac * 33 7-8 0-0 1-1 20 1 0 1 15 - -
Amir Coffey * 30 5-6 3-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 13 - -
Terance Mann * 22 3-10 0-6 5-6 3 2 1 0 11 - -
Norman Powell 24 5-12 1-4 2-2 6 1 0 0 13 - -
Russell Westbrook 20 6-9 2-4 0-0 6 6 0 0 14 - -
Kobe Brown 15 3-5 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 7 - -
Daniel Theis 13 2-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 2 5 - -

* = starter