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2023-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 42.5% 57.5% -
Bradley-Terry 19.9% 80.1% -
Margin 12.1% 87.9% +10.9 (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% -
Efficiency 54.3% 45.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% -
Log Adjusted 51.8% 48.2% -
Points Off/Def 46.6% 53.4% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -4 (127-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 41 13-26 2-9 14-15 4 4 0 1 42 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 35 5-12 2-7 3-4 3 2 1 0 15 - -
Tobias Harris * 34 10-18 2-6 0-0 4 7 4 3 22 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 24 4-7 3-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 13 - -
Paul Reed * 23 3-5 0-0 1-2 2 4 1 0 7 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. 26 4-8 2-5 4-5 5 1 1 1 14 - -
Patrick Beverley 19 3-4 1-1 2-2 3 3 0 0 9 - -
Robert Covington 16 3-5 0-1 1-1 4 0 3 0 7 - -
Danuel House Jr. 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Mo Bamba 5 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 42 9-16 8-12 7-8 3 10 1 1 33 - -
Jalen Green * 36 12-19 5-9 2-4 6 4 0 0 31 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 35 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 4 - -
Alperen Sengun * 34 12-16 1-2 3-4 7 8 1 1 28 - -
Jeff Green * 32 5-11 0-2 0-1 4 0 1 1 10 - -
Tari Eason 27 5-13 0-2 0-0 11 2 3 2 10 - -
Aaron Holiday 14 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 3 2 0 4 - -
Amen Thompson 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 - -
Jock Landale 7 2-5 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 6 - -

* = starter