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2023-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 25.6% 74.4% -
Bradley-Terry 28.6% 71.4% -
Margin 18.7% 81.3% +8.1 (16.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.0% 52.0% -
Efficiency 50.5% 49.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.3% 51.7% -
Log Adjusted 48.3% 51.7% -
Points Off/Def 44.3% 55.7% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -8 (111-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 36 14-22 0-1 6-7 16 5 1 0 34 - -
Brook Lopez * 36 4-10 1-3 0-0 10 2 0 6 9 - -
Malik Beasley * 34 5-9 5-8 0-0 5 0 0 0 15 - -
Damian Lillard * 34 9-16 2-6 11-11 2 4 0 0 31 - -
Khris Middleton * 33 4-10 1-3 4-4 3 11 3 0 13 - -
Bobby Portis 23 2-6 1-2 4-6 5 1 1 0 9 - -
Pat Connaughton 22 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 10 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Cameron Payne 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarrett Allen * 40 15-17 0-0 0-0 12 6 0 2 30 - -
Max Strus * 36 5-18 2-11 0-0 4 2 4 2 12 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 36 14-23 2-10 4-4 6 9 2 1 34 - -
Isaac Okoro * 29 3-5 0-1 2-2 2 3 1 1 8 - -
Dean Wade * 17 0-3 0-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 - -
Caris LeVert 28 3-14 0-6 0-0 1 4 1 0 6 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 15 6-10 1-3 1-1 1 1 1 0 14 - -
Georges Niang 14 1-7 0-6 0-0 0 0 1 1 2 - -
Sam Merrill 14 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Tristan Thompson 7 1-2 0-0 0-2 6 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter