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2023-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 25.3% 74.7% -
Bradley-Terry 20.9% 79.1% -
Margin 10.1% 89.9% +12.0 (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 29.2% 70.8% -
Efficiency 4.3% 95.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.1% 92.9% -
Log Adjusted 7.0% 93.0% -
Points Off/Def 14.4% 85.6% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +2 (120-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 40 10-18 2-5 5-8 5 5 2 0 27 - -
Scottie Barnes * 38 10-24 7-15 3-4 10 5 1 3 30 - -
OG Anunoby * 37 5-8 2-4 0-0 2 2 2 0 12 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 28 2-10 1-4 1-2 4 1 2 0 6 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 22 5-8 0-0 2-2 10 3 0 2 12 - -
Dennis Schroder 34 6-12 2-5 1-2 2 9 0 1 15 - -
Jalen McDaniels 14 5-10 2-7 1-2 0 2 1 0 13 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Chris Boucher 6 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Malachi Flynn 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 - -
Precious Achiuwa 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 40 11-16 5-6 4-5 10 6 0 0 31 - -
Derrick White * 35 5-19 2-10 9-9 5 7 3 2 21 - -
Sam Hauser * 34 3-7 3-7 0-0 9 1 0 1 9 - -
Luke Kornet * 33 9-11 0-0 2-2 8 3 0 3 20 - -
Jrue Holiday * 31 5-15 3-5 2-4 2 3 0 0 15 - -
Payton Pritchard 25 3-10 3-8 0-0 5 6 0 0 9 - -
Oshae Brissett 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 - -
Neemias Queta 14 3-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 7 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Dalano Banton 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter