Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.5% | 63.5% | +3.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -7 (110-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 40 | 10-20 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 36 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 35 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 9 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 30 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 25 | 7-12 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 38 | 7-18 | 3-10 | 7-7 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 36 | 7-20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson * | 35 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 32 | 4-14 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 26 | 4-14 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter