Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.1% | 47.9% | -0.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -13 (105-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 35 | 7-16 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 28 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 24 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 10-10 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 30 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 31 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 16 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 15 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 40 | 9-21 | 1-5 | 10-13 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 36 | 10-19 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Scoot Henderson * | 36 | 8-23 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Toumani Camara * | 21 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown * | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle | 28 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ibou Badji | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - | - | |
| Skylar Mays | 13 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ish Wainright | 5 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter