Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.6% | 71.4% | +5.0 | ✗ (17.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -12 (102-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. * | 38 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 30 | 10-18 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 29 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jamal Cain | 28 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jovic | 19 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cole Swider | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 31 | 3-15 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 27 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 25 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 23 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul | 27 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins | 25 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric | 19 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 12 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jerome Robinson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lester Quinones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter