Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.4% | 65.6% | +3.6 | ✓ (33.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +37 (142-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vince Williams Jr. * | 29 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 27 | 5-15 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 25 | 9-13 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 23 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 28 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4-8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 24 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 24 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 21 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jacob Gilyard | 12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 29 | 11-11 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 14 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 25 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 25 | 9-12 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson * | 23 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 22 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 24 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 23 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 17 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 16 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Braxton Key | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter