Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.8% | 80.2% | +7.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +8 (118-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Williams * | 30 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy * | 30 | 7-18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum * | 24 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 32 | 11-19 | 5-11 | 5-7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 29 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 37 | 12-23 | 6-11 | 14-18 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 44 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 37 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 33 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 27 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 27 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 18 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter