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2023-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 22.7% 77.3% -
Bradley-Terry 46.2% 53.8% -
Margin 49.0% 51.0% +0.2 (16.2 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% -
Efficiency 61.8% 38.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.2% 37.8% -
Log Adjusted 62.2% 37.8% -
Points Off/Def 54.4% 45.6% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -16 (104-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 37 7-17 6-13 1-2 3 20 2 1 21 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 33 4-9 4-6 0-0 5 1 1 2 12 - -
Myles Turner * 26 8-12 1-2 7-7 6 0 0 3 24 - -
Jalen Smith * 24 6-7 1-2 2-5 7 1 0 0 15 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 23 4-13 0-3 0-0 3 4 1 0 8 - -
Buddy Hield 32 7-13 5-10 0-0 6 2 1 1 19 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 25 5-9 1-3 4-5 5 1 0 1 15 - -
Obi Toppin 24 1-4 1-3 0-0 12 0 0 1 3 - -
Isaiah Jackson 11 1-1 0-0 1-3 0 1 1 0 3 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Patrick Williams * 37 9-14 2-5 2-2 5 3 2 0 22 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 37 7-19 0-3 7-8 5 5 2 0 21 - -
Coby White * 33 5-19 2-6 4-4 5 2 0 0 16 - -
Alex Caruso * 32 6-11 3-7 0-0 7 2 1 0 15 - -
Andre Drummond * 21 3-9 0-0 1-4 16 0 1 0 7 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 33 7-15 0-2 1-2 5 3 0 0 15 - -
Dalen Terry 17 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 3 6 - -
Terry Taylor 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Jevon Carter 12 0-5 0-3 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 - -
Julian Phillips 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Adama Sanogo 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter