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2023-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 42.7% 57.3% -
Bradley-Terry 32.9% 67.1% -
Margin 24.5% 75.5% +6.2 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 24.7% 75.3% -
Efficiency 1.7% 98.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.4% 95.6% -
Log Adjusted 4.4% 95.6% -
Points Off/Def 11.7% 88.3% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +6 (128-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bojan Bogdanovic * 43 8-21 1-7 0-0 12 6 0 0 17 - -
Cade Cunningham * 42 12-22 4-6 3-4 6 9 3 2 31 - -
Jalen Duren * 39 5-6 0-0 5-6 14 2 0 0 15 - -
Jaden Ivey * 32 8-15 3-5 3-5 10 4 0 1 22 - -
Kevin Knox II * 18 3-9 0-6 0-0 2 0 1 0 6 - -
Alec Burks 30 4-13 4-12 0-0 2 1 2 0 12 - -
Isaiah Livers 22 3-7 2-6 1-4 1 2 0 1 9 - -
James Wiseman 13 3-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Ausar Thompson 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Killian Hayes 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 44 4-9 0-2 4-5 9 3 1 1 12 - -
Jayson Tatum * 43 11-31 2-11 7-8 7 10 5 0 31 - -
Derrick White * 37 9-15 2-4 3-3 4 5 0 2 23 - -
Al Horford * 37 3-4 2-3 0-0 5 3 1 1 8 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 35 13-21 3-9 6-7 8 1 1 0 35 - -
Payton Pritchard 23 4-11 1-6 0-0 4 2 1 0 9 - -
Neemias Queta 19 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Sam Hauser 17 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 - -
Oshae Brissett 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter