Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.3% | 27.7% | -5.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -3 (110-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Okoro * | 38 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 35 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 33 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade * | 32 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Craig Porter Jr. * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 27 | 9-19 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 23 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Emoni Bates | 5 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 14-29 | 3-10 | 8-10 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 39 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 35 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum * | 33 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 29 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 27 | 6-11 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 26 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter