Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✗ (23.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -16 (113-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 41 | 9-16 | 3-7 | 6-8 | 10 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 39 | 10-15 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 35 | 9-19 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 33 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 14 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Udoka Azubuike | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 16 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Saben Lee | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 29 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 28 | 9-18 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 25 | 8-20 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 23 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 24 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 17 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 17 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter