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2023-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 70.6% 29.4% -
Bradley-Terry 65.5% 34.5% -
Margin 78.3% 21.7% -7.0 (23.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.1% 47.9% -
Efficiency 58.2% 41.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.7% 44.3% -
Log Adjusted 55.6% 44.4% -
Points Off/Def 50.1% 49.9% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -30 (102-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 33 8-16 4-8 0-0 12 8 3 2 20 - -
Pascal Siakam * 31 9-15 0-2 4-5 6 11 1 0 22 - -
OG Anunoby * 29 11-16 3-7 1-2 6 2 0 0 26 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 26 4-10 3-8 1-2 2 4 2 0 12 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 21 4-6 0-0 2-4 8 2 2 1 10 - -
Dennis Schroder 28 4-6 1-2 0-0 4 10 0 0 9 - -
Jalen McDaniels 18 2-7 0-4 2-2 4 1 1 0 6 - -
Chris Boucher 12 2-5 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 12 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 6 - -
Precious Achiuwa 10 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 1 3 - -
Gradey Dick 4 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 1 0 3 - -
Thaddeus Young 4 1-1 0-0 1-1 3 3 0 0 3 - -
Malachi Flynn 4 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyus Jones * 30 5-12 1-6 0-0 2 5 2 0 11 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 30 6-13 1-5 1-2 4 7 0 0 14 - -
Daniel Gafford * 30 5-9 0-0 2-2 8 1 4 1 12 - -
Jordan Poole * 27 5-12 1-7 3-4 4 4 0 1 14 - -
Deni Avdija * 24 5-8 1-1 1-2 2 1 2 0 12 - -
Bilal Coulibaly 24 4-8 1-4 1-2 4 2 0 0 10 - -
Corey Kispert 20 5-8 2-5 1-1 2 2 1 0 13 - -
Landry Shamet 10 3-5 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 7 - -
Mike Muscala 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 - -
Johnny Davis 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Ryan Rollins 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Eugene Omoruyi 6 3-4 0-1 1-2 1 2 2 0 7 - -
Danilo Gallinari 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Anthony Gill 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter