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2023-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 17.8% 82.2% -
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% -
Margin 37.2% 62.8% +2.9 (14.1 off)
Pythagorean 63.0% 37.0% -
Efficiency 80.5% 19.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.1% 21.9% -
Log Adjusted 78.2% 21.8% -
Points Off/Def 66.6% 33.4% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +17 (130-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 38 16-26 7-15 4-6 8 4 2 1 43 32 -
Domantas Sabonis * 36 14-19 0-0 6-7 12 5 0 0 34 32 -
Harrison Barnes * 35 3-8 0-3 3-3 5 1 1 0 9 8 -
Keegan Murray * 35 2-11 1-7 0-0 4 2 0 1 5 1 -
Kevin Huerter * 21 2-8 1-5 0-0 2 2 0 1 5 2 -
Malik Monk 18 3-11 1-7 0-0 1 4 0 1 7 2 -
Trey Lyles 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 2 0 6 -
Keon Ellis 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 3 -
Sasha Vezenkov 9 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Chris Duarte 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 4 7 -
JaVale McGee 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 4 -
Kessler Edwards 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Davion Mitchell 1 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
Alex Len 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anfernee Simons * 34 12-25 5-12 0-0 4 3 1 0 29 12 -
Malcolm Brogdon * 29 7-13 3-8 2-2 5 6 0 0 19 17 -
Jerami Grant * 27 5-10 1-3 2-3 2 2 0 1 13 8 -
Toumani Camara * 17 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 3 -
Moses Brown * 14 0-1 0-0 0-2 11 0 1 1 0 12 -
Duop Reath 32 9-15 3-6 4-4 9 0 1 1 25 21 -
Scoot Henderson 28 6-15 1-3 4-4 1 11 0 0 17 14 -
Matisse Thybulle 26 2-5 2-4 0-0 4 4 2 2 6 13 -
Jabari Walker 22 6-8 1-2 4-5 6 1 0 0 17 16 -
Skylar Mays 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kris Murray 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ish Wainright 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ibou Badji 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter