Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.8% | 79.2% | +7.4 | ✗ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -6 (117-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 37 | 13-21 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 33 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 30 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 23 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith * | 22 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 33 | 4-14 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 24 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 39 | 7-18 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 36 | 11-20 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 22 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 25 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 25 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter