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2023-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 41.5% 58.5% -
Bradley-Terry 39.8% 60.2% -
Margin 42.8% 57.2% +1.6 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% -
Efficiency 43.9% 56.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.5% 54.5% -
Log Adjusted 45.5% 54.5% -
Points Off/Def 41.6% 58.4% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +5 (118-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 39 6-17 3-12 6-7 2 13 1 0 21 - -
Dejounte Murray * 34 6-15 2-9 3-4 6 4 2 1 17 - -
Saddiq Bey * 33 5-10 2-6 1-1 8 0 1 0 13 - -
Jalen Johnson * 29 5-8 0-1 0-0 9 4 1 0 10 - -
Clint Capela * 26 5-9 0-0 3-4 5 1 0 1 13 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 31 8-21 3-12 3-3 3 1 0 0 22 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 21 4-6 1-2 2-2 6 0 1 0 11 - -
Garrison Mathews 13 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Wesley Matthews 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 - -
Trent Forrest 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Seth Lundy 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 40 8-17 2-3 7-7 2 6 1 0 25 - -
Andre Drummond * 38 11-13 0-0 2-2 25 1 3 2 24 - -
Coby White * 36 7-22 0-7 5-8 5 5 0 0 19 - -
Alex Caruso * 29 2-10 1-5 6-6 5 5 2 0 11 - -
Patrick Williams * 25 2-7 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 6 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 35 6-14 2-4 5-6 7 4 3 0 19 - -
Jevon Carter 20 4-6 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 10 - -
Terry Taylor 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Dalen Terry 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter