Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.9% | 60.1% | +2.3 | ✗ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -14 (114-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 43 | 15-25 | 8-16 | 12-12 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 50 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 38 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 35 | 9-18 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum * | 33 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 31 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 26 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 42 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 40 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 7-10 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 39 | 12-22 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 36 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 33 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 12 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Udoka Azubuike | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter