Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +6 (119-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey * | 43 | 4-20 | 1-8 | 3-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tobias Harris * | 41 | 10-18 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 39 | 9-16 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 36 | 5-17 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Paul Reed * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 25 | 7-8 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Patrick Beverley | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Marcus Morris Sr. | 10 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| KJ Martin | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaden Springer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. * | 39 | 11-15 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 37 | 8-25 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 36 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 26 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 33 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 34 | 5-13 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 17 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jamal Cain | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter