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2023-12-25

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 72.5% 27.5% -
Bradley-Terry 56.5% 43.5% -
Margin 76.6% 23.4% -6.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 56.6% 43.4% -
Efficiency 80.4% 19.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.8% 25.2% -
Log Adjusted 74.8% 25.2% -
Points Off/Def 64.3% 35.7% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -11 (115-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 41 6-15 1-6 12-13 8 7 0 1 25 - -
Jrue Holiday * 38 7-10 3-5 1-1 7 7 1 1 18 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 35 11-19 2-8 4-7 11 2 1 2 28 - -
Derrick White * 35 8-13 2-4 0-0 2 11 2 2 18 - -
Jaylen Brown * 32 7-17 1-5 4-7 5 2 3 0 19 - -
Al Horford 23 2-4 2-4 0-0 6 1 0 1 6 - -
Sam Hauser 14 1-5 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Payton Pritchard 12 4-8 2-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Neemias Queta 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 38 15-26 2-4 8-10 13 4 0 1 40 - -
Taurean Prince * 38 6-13 5-12 0-0 4 3 1 0 17 - -
LeBron James * 36 5-14 1-2 5-6 9 8 0 0 16 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 22 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 6 - -
Cam Reddish * 18 1-2 1-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Rui Hachimura 29 5-14 2-9 0-0 3 0 0 0 12 - -
Austin Reaves 28 4-9 2-3 1-1 6 3 1 0 11 - -
D'Angelo Russell 17 4-6 0-1 0-0 1 6 1 0 8 - -
Jaxson Hayes 9 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter