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2023-12-24

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 72.5% 27.5% -
Bradley-Terry 61.7% 38.3% -
Margin 75.1% 24.9% -6.1 (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.5% 48.5% -
Efficiency 62.9% 37.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.0% 38.0% -
Log Adjusted 62.0% 38.0% -
Points Off/Def 52.8% 47.2% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -12 (98-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden McDaniels * 40 8-16 3-9 1-2 5 1 4 1 20 - -
Rudy Gobert * 39 10-13 0-0 1-2 17 1 0 2 21 - -
Anthony Edwards * 39 13-27 3-12 5-5 5 10 1 1 34 - -
Mike Conley * 31 4-10 3-7 1-1 7 9 2 0 12 - -
Kyle Anderson * 28 4-9 0-0 2-2 5 5 0 1 10 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 22 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Naz Reid 19 2-4 0-1 2-2 2 2 2 0 6 - -
Shake Milton 13 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keegan Murray * 39 8-16 3-7 1-2 7 0 3 1 20 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 39 7-12 0-1 3-5 10 10 1 0 17 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 39 10-23 3-11 4-4 4 6 2 0 27 - -
Harrison Barnes * 30 3-6 0-2 6-6 3 1 0 0 12 - -
Kevin Huerter * 15 1-7 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Trey Lyles 27 4-8 1-4 1-3 7 3 0 0 10 - -
Chris Duarte 18 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 0 2 0 3 - -
Keon Ellis 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
JaVale McGee 8 3-6 0-0 1-1 2 1 1 1 7 - -
Sasha Vezenkov 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Colby Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Kessler Edwards 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter