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2023-12-24

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 15.4% 84.6% -
Bradley-Terry 19.8% 80.2% -
Margin 7.4% 92.6% +13.9 (22.9 off)
Pythagorean 40.1% 59.9% -
Efficiency 23.6% 76.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% -
Log Adjusted 26.9% 73.1% -
Points Off/Def 30.1% 69.9% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -9 (120-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 41 11-21 1-1 3-6 11 7 1 2 26 - -
LeBron James * 37 13-20 5-5 9-9 7 7 2 2 40 - -
Cam Reddish * 27 2-7 0-4 0-0 4 7 1 0 4 - -
Taurean Prince * 27 3-7 2-5 2-2 6 1 1 2 10 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 23 1-4 0-1 0-0 6 0 1 1 2 - -
Rui Hachimura 29 8-14 3-5 2-2 6 2 1 0 21 - -
Austin Reaves 28 4-8 2-5 1-1 3 9 0 0 11 - -
D'Angelo Russell 17 5-9 3-6 2-3 1 3 0 0 15 - -
Jaxson Hayes 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 38 12-21 1-5 9-10 5 7 3 0 34 - -
Jalen Williams * 34 11-17 2-5 4-4 6 3 0 0 28 - -
Chet Holmgren * 34 8-18 1-6 2-5 10 0 1 3 19 - -
Luguentz Dort * 30 3-9 2-6 0-0 5 0 0 1 8 - -
Cason Wallace * 24 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 4 1 0 5 - -
Kenrich Williams 22 4-6 3-4 0-0 2 5 1 1 11 - -
Isaiah Joe 20 3-11 1-6 0-0 5 1 0 2 7 - -
Ousmane Dieng 10 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Davis Bertans 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Aaron Wiggins 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Jaylin Williams 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Olivier Sarr 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter