🐻⬇️🏀

@
2023-12-24

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 25.1% 74.9% -
Bradley-Terry 48.2% 51.8% -
Margin 58.5% 41.5% -1.9 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 39.3% 60.7% -
Efficiency 30.4% 69.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.2% 66.8% -
Log Adjusted 33.1% 66.9% -
Points Off/Def 34.8% 65.2% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -6 (119-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 36 13-25 5-14 6-6 6 6 1 1 37 - -
Ja Morant * 36 14-25 1-3 1-1 6 11 1 1 30 - -
Vince Williams Jr. * 35 2-6 1-5 0-0 11 1 2 0 5 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 29 3-6 0-0 2-6 11 3 1 0 8 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 23 8-10 1-2 3-4 2 0 0 0 20 - -
Santi Aldama 27 2-7 1-4 1-2 4 3 0 1 6 - -
Ziaire Williams 23 3-8 1-3 1-3 3 3 0 0 8 - -
Xavier Tillman 15 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 2 6 - -
John Konchar 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 5 2 0 2 5 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 40 11-24 3-10 5-7 5 13 1 1 30 - -
Saddiq Bey * 38 4-11 3-9 3-4 6 2 2 0 14 - -
Dejounte Murray * 35 10-15 4-6 2-2 4 4 2 0 26 - -
Clint Capela * 30 8-11 0-0 4-4 12 1 0 2 20 - -
Garrison Mathews * 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 34 6-15 2-8 2-3 4 3 0 0 16 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 27 5-10 0-2 0-0 7 4 2 2 10 - -
Seth Lundy 19 1-7 1-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter