Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.8% | 11.2% | -11.4 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -2 (104-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperen Sengun * | 38 | 11-21 | 1-1 | 14-17 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 37 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 37 | 10-14 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 35 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 20 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 36 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 34 | 11-16 | 1-2 | 5-10 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 33 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 18 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III | 34 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 21 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter