Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | +1.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -7 (110-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner * | 36 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Paolo Banchero * | 36 | 11-20 | 0-0 | 12-16 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 34 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Anthony Black * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 24 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Caleb Houstan | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Isaac | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 39 | 12-22 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 38 | 7-15 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 36 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 29 | 9-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 24 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 27 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 14 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter