Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.2% | 20.8% | -7.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -7 (95-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 35 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 33 | 8-19 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 31 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 30 | 8-14 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 17 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 16 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 14 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Richards * | 38 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Miles Bridges * | 37 | 8-23 | 2-12 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 22 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Brandon Miller * | 10 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington | 28 | 6-20 | 1-7 | 7-9 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 25 | 6-12 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Bryce McGowens | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cody Martin | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nathan Mensah | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter