Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.9% | 47.1% | -0.6 | ✗ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +15 (120-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 36 | 9-20 | 0-3 | 6-9 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 15 | - | |
| Kevin Durant * | 34 | 9-14 | 2-3 | 8-9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 24 | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 29 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | |
| Drew Eubanks * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Udoka Azubuike | 22 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 20 | - | |
| Saben Lee | 19 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Nassir Little | 16 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin | 14 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 13 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 11 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | |
| Bol Bol | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 37 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 34 | 12-15 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 36 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 32 | 9-17 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 24 | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 32 | 8-13 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 27 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 20 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Sasha Vezenkov | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter