Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | +8.0 | ✓ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +26 (122-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Williams * | 25 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 25 | 6-20 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy * | 24 | 3-17 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris * | 11 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 29 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 7-9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 23 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 22 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dexter Dennis | 17 | 8-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 17 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Greg Brown III | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 30 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 26 | 5-14 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 24 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 21 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 21 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 15 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 14 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Nate Hinton | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jermaine Samuels Jr. | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter