Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.8% | 66.2% | +3.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +9 (122-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 39 | 10-22 | 7-13 | 3-3 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 39 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 34 | 10-20 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 27 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 35 | 8-24 | 6-18 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 25 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 38 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. * | 37 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin * | 35 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 34 | 11-21 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 28 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 25 | 8-11 | 4-7 | 7-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 9 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 9 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter